Form 8-K

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549

 

 

FORM 8-K

 

 

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): November 2, 2009

 

 

ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP, INC.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

 

 

 

Delaware   000-26489   48-1090909

(State or Other Jurisdiction

of Incorporation)

  (Commission File Number)  

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

 

8875 Aero Drive, Suite 200, San Diego, California   92123
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)   (Zip Code)

(877) 445-4581

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

 

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

 

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

 

 


Item 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure.

A copy of an investor slide presentation to be given by J. Brandon Black, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Paul Grinberg, Chief Financial Officer, at investor presentations during November 2009, is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein solely for purposes of this Item 7.01.

 

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

(d) Exhibits.

 

Exhibit
Number

  

Description

     
99.1    Investor slide presentation of Encore Capital Group, Inc. dated November 2009.   

The information in Item 2.02 of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibit, shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or otherwise subject to the liabilities under that Section, nor be deemed to be incorporated by reference into the filings of the registrant under the Securities Act of 1933.

Forward-Looking Statements:

The slide presentation attached to this report contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (the “Reform Act”). The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “project,” or the negation thereof or similar expressions constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Reform Act. These statements may include, but are not limited to, projections of revenues, income or loss, estimates of capital expenditures, plans for future operations, products or services, and financing needs or plans, as well as assumptions relating to these matters. For all forward-looking statements, the Company claims the protection of the safe-harbor for forward-looking statements contained in the Reform Act.

Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date the statement was made. They are inherently subject to risks and uncertainties, some of which we cannot predict or quantify. Future events and actual results could differ materially from the forward-looking statements. When considering each forward-looking statement, you should keep in mind the risk factors and cautionary statements found throughout the Company’s reports it files with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008. The Company does not undertake and specifically decline any obligation to publicly release the result of any revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of such statements or to reflect the occurrence of anticipated or unanticipated events, whether as a result of new information, future events, or for any other reason.

In addition, it is the Company’s policy generally not to make any specific projections as to future earnings and the Company does not endorse projections regarding future performance that may be made by third parties.

 

2


SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

  ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP, INC.

Date: November 2, 2009

 

/s/    PAUL GRINBERG        

  Paul Grinberg
 

Executive Vice President, Chief Financial

Officer and Treasurer

 

3


EXHIBIT INDEX

 

Exhibit
Number

  

Description

     
99.1    Investor slide presentation of Encore Capital Group, Inc. dated November 2009.   
Investor slide presentation of Encore Capital Group, Inc.
Encore Capital Group
Investor Presentation
November 2009
Leveraging Intellectual Capital
Leveraging Intellectual Capital
Exhibit 99.1


Encore Capital Group
1
CAUTIONARY NOTE ABOUT FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (the “Reform Act”).  The words
“believe,”
“expect,”
“anticipate,”
“estimate,”
“project,”
or the negation thereof or similar
expressions constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Reform
Act.  These statements may include, but are not limited to, projections of revenues,
income or loss, estimates of capital expenditures, plans for future operations,
products or services, and financing needs or plans, as well as assumptions relating to
these
matters.
Such
statements
involve
risks,
uncertainties
and
other
factors
that
may cause actual results, performance or achievements of the Company and its
subsidiaries
to
be
materially
different
from
any
future
results,
performance
or
achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.  For a
discussion of these factors, we refer you to the Company's reports filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for
the year ended December 31, 2008 and its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the
quarter ended September 30, 2009.  In light of the significant uncertainties inherent in
the forward-looking statements included herein, the inclusion of such information
should not be regarded as a representation by the Company or by any other person
or entity that the objectives and plans of the Company will be achieved.  For all
forward-looking statements, the Company claims the protection of the safe-harbor for
forward-looking statements contained in the Reform Act.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS


Encore Capital Group
2
INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
Increasing supply combined with decreasing demand is creating an
opportunity for well capitalized companies
Sophisticated
analytics,
differentiated
servicing
strategies
and
our
high
performing, low cost site in India enable us to generate superior returns
in today’s challenging economic times
Disciplined purchasing strategy allowed us to succeed over the past
few years without entering the then dramatically overpriced “fresh”
portfolio market
Demonstrated history of generating strong cash flows
Strategically positioned to take advantage of significant near-term
growth prospects


Encore Capital Group
3
AGENDA
Company snapshot and industry overview
Current environment and key operating metrics
Operational competitive advantages
Additional financial information


Encore Capital Group
4
ENCORE IS A LEADING PLAYER IN THE DEBT RECOVERY INDUSTRY
Distressed consumer debt
purchasing
(95% of revenue)
•Purchase and collection of
charged-off consumer
receivables (primarily credit
card)
•Robust
business
model
emphasizing consumer
intelligence and operational
specialization
•Invested
~$1.4B
to
acquire
receivables with a face value
of ~$45B
•Acquired
>25MM
consumer
accounts since inception
Bankruptcy servicing
(5% of revenue)
•Process
secured
consumer
bankruptcy accounts for
leading auto lenders and
other financial institutions
•Proprietary
software
dedicated to bankruptcy
servicing
•Operational
platform
that
integrates lenders, trustees,
and consumers


Encore Capital Group
5
WE OPERATE IN FIVE DIFFERENT SITES ACROSS THE U.S. AND INDIA
San Diego,
CA
Headquarters
Call center
site
St Cloud,
MN
Call center site
Arlington, TX
Bankruptcy servicing
Phoenix, AZ
Delhi, India
Defaulted consumer debt purchasing
Bankruptcy servicing business
Call center site
Call center site


Encore Capital Group
OUR LONG-TERM FINANCIAL MODEL IS NOT BASED ON MONTHLY CASH
PAYMENTS AND GIVES THE CONSUMER TIME TO RECOVER
6
CONSUMER
Opens unsecured
credit line,
credit card or
consumer loan
Consumer either
cannot or will not
make payments
ISSUER
Delinquency cycle
(days 30-180)
Attempt
rehabilitation and
escalate
consequences
Consumer is
“charged-off”
by issuer on
day 181
Issuer offers to
sell unsecured,
charged-off
debt to Encore
ENCORE
Price portfolio using
industry-leading models
Based on consumer
behavior at the account level
Focused on willingness and
ability-to-pay
Create liquidation
strategy and set goals
Effort sloping through
empirical and statistical
modeling
Collect debt through the application of
unique collections platforms and unrivaled
collection professionals (84 month window)
Legal
Outsourcing
Call Centers
Direct Mail
Collection Agency
Outsourcing
Sales channel
No/Low effort


Encore Capital Group
7
AT THE PEAK OF THE COLLECTION CYCLE, WE WILL GENERATE
PAYMENTS FROM FEWER THAN 1% OF OUR ACCOUNTS PER MONTH
Portfolio Face Amount
$15,000,000
Average Balance
$3,000
Number of Accounts
5,000
Purchase Factor
$0.05
Purchase Price
$750,000
Projected Return (2.7x)
$2,025,000
Only requires 20% payers, at a 67.5% settlement rate, to achieve
expected returns over a seven year period.  This equates to:
Year 1: ~ 7.0% (350 consumers)
Year 2: ~ 5.5% (270 consumers)
Year 3: ~ 4.5% (220 consumers)
Year 4: ~ 2.0% (100 consumers)
Years 5+: ~1.0% (60 consumers)
ILLUSTRATIVE


Encore Capital Group
THE INDUSTRY HAS GONE THROUGH SEVERAL DISTINCT STAGES
OVER THE LAST 10 YEARS
8
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Demand
Supply
Issuers are relatively naïve
about the value of consumer
debt
Modest demand for delinquent
consumer paper leads to low
prices
An emerging
market
2001
2003
Issuers improve their delinquent credit card
valuation methods
The number of buyers increases dramatically
as private equity enters and small players
borrow and invest heavily for growth
Buyers
fall
prey
to
the
“winner’s
curse”
as
they price portfolios well outside reasonable
collection expectations
Overconfidence and
irrational pricing
2005
2007
As credit markets close,
buyers are unable to fund
new and existing contracts
Consumer charge-off rates at
all-time highs
Significant
opportunity
2009


Encore Capital Group
9
Several competitors are now
known to have overpaid for
portfolios and are in financial
distress or have exited the
industry
Between 2005 and 2007, we
remained disciplined and avoided
high priced portfolios that did not
meet internal hurdle rates
In late 2005, we
established call
center in India
We believe it is the only
successful late-stage
collections platform in India,
at 1/3
the
cost
of
the
U.S.
Legal collections
represented nearly 50%
of the $400 million in total
collections for 2008 with
improved net liquidation
We have maintained
our analytic leadership
position, and have
strengthened it, with
novel models and
technologies
Credit markets effectively
closed following Lehman
collapse
in
September
2008
Beginning in 2006, we
started accelerating
legal collections
In July 2008, we raised
$105 million of
additional capital
In 2008, we built
and implemented
industry’s first
known ability-to-
pay (Capability)
model
WE ARE WELL POSITIONED TODAY BECAUSE OF KEY STRATEGIC
DECISIONS MADE DURING THE PERIOD OF OVERCONFIDENCE AND
IRRATIONAL PRICING
rd


Encore Capital Group
10
* See Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA  to GAAP Net Income at the end of the presentation
2009 Q3 Actual
2008 Q3 Actual
Adjusted
Q3 YOY Growth
Variance
$125,710
$27,933
29%
$97,777
Collections
$80,386
$14,013
21%
$66,373
Revenue
$70,023
$22,773
48%
$47,250 
Adjusted EBITDA*
$9,004
$5,976
197%
$3,028
Net Income
$77,734 
$11,627 
18%
$66,107
Purchases
$0.37
$0.24
185%
$0.13
EPS, FD
($000s, except EPS and ratios)
OUR THIRD QUARTER RESULTS REFLECT THE CONTINUED IMPACT OF
THESE DECISIONS


Encore Capital Group
11
AGENDA
Company snapshot and industry overview
Current environment and key operating metrics
Operational competitive advantages
Additional financial information


Encore Capital Group
12
Charge-offs are at 10.7% as of September 2009, near August 2009’s highest levels, with an expected peak of
12% in early 2010
The 19 largest domestic banks are expected to charge-off $82.4 billion of credit card debt by the end of 2010
Some analysts believe that unemployment above 10% could lead to higher charge-off rates and up to $200
billion in losses across the whole industry by 2010
At
fresh
purchase
rates
between
$0.06
and
$0.07
of
face
value,
potential
overall
spend
is
$12
-
$14
billion,
while
current
demand
is
closer
to
$2
-
$4
billion
Moody’s Credit Card Charge-off Index
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
WE ARE OPERATING IN A PERIOD OF UNPRECEDENTED SUPPLY


Encore Capital Group
13
Reduction in
demand for
delinquent
credit card
assets
Large
purchasing
mistakes
force
key players to the sidelines (Asta)
Bigger players exiting the market
(Arrow, IDT), a trend we expect
will continue through 2010
Access
to
capital
remains
tight
across
the industry; constraining purchasing
(CarVal
-
West, AACC, NCO)
Shutdown of the secondary market
puts
pressure
on
resellers’
models,
leading to further buying restraint
AND AN EQUALLY DRAMATIC REDUCTION IN DEMAND


Encore Capital Group
14
4.25%
4.25%
4.50%
5.25%
9.75%
12.50%
12.55%
9.00%
6.50%
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Fresh
credit
card
portfolio
prices
a
top
10
issuer
(% on a dollar of face)
EXAMPLE
THESE SUPPLY AND DEMAND DYNAMICS HAVE DRIVEN PRICING
TO 5-YEAR LOWS


Encore Capital Group
-2.0%
-1.5%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
15
40
60
80
100
120
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
THE GENERAL PERCEPTION IS THAT COLLECTIONS ARE PROBABLY
DECLINING ALONG WITH PRICES, DUE TO ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
High mortgage defaults
Near all-time high unemployment rate
Low consumer sentiment
Volatile consumer price index
Source: Wall Street Journal, Loan Performance, University of Michigan, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics


Encore Capital Group
16
IN CONTRAST, OUR PERFORMANCE HAS GENERALLY REMAINED
CONSISTENT
Metric
Recent trend
Payer rates
Slightly upward
Average payment size
Stable
Single vs. multi-payers
More payment plans
Broken payer rates
Mild improvement
Settlement rates
Steady


Encore Capital Group
17
MOST NOTABLY, OUR PAYER RATES ARE NOT DECLINING RELATIVE TO
SEASONAL PATTERNS
Overall payer rate for all active inventory
(Percent)


Encore Capital Group
18
$47.9
$66.1
$52.5
$55.9
$82.0
$77.7
Q1
Q2
Q3
2008
Quarterly Purchases for 2008 and 2009
($ millions)
GIVEN OUR STRONG RETURNS, WE ARE ABLE TO PURCHASE
PORTFOLIOS AT AN INCREASING RATE
2009


Encore Capital Group
19
AGENDA
Company snapshot and industry overview
Current environment and key operating metrics
Operational competitive advantages
Additional financial information


Encore Capital Group
20
OUR STRONG PERFORMANCE IS THE RESULT OF OUR DIFFERENTIATED
OPERATING PLATFORM
Highly analytic and
sophisticated methods for
understanding and predicting
consumer payment behavior
First-mover, offshore collection
strategy that provides
significant cost advantages
Leading legal collection
platform with expanded
portfolio penetration and
improved liquidation
Exceptionally stable,
productive and tenured
call center professionals
Encore’s
unique
collection
strategy


Encore Capital Group
21
OUR ANALYTIC INSIGHT ALLOWS US TO MATCH OUR COLLECTION
TACTICS TO THE INDIVIDUAL CONSUMER’S PAYER BEHAVIOR
Willingness to pay
Is the debtor willing to resolve the debt on fair terms?
H
H
L
L
Minimal discounts and direct to
legal
Minimal discounts, collect
mainly through mail and
outbound calls
Minimal to no effort
Significant discounts, smaller payments and
longer payment plans through call center and
mail
Pre-legal collections
and litigation
collections
Moderate discounts, use of payment plans
and creative communications through call
center and mail


Encore Capital Group
Core competency in understanding the
payer behavior of distressed consumers
Account
sales
Monitoring
Legal
Outsourcing
Legal effort
model with
Capability
Call
Centers
Call effort
model with
Capability
Direct
Mail
Letter effort
model with
Capability
Collection
Agency
Outsourcing
Agency effort
model with
Capability
Collections operations
that optimize effort and
profitability
Cross-channel
coordination
and optimization
Consumer
behavior
research
Market data
and insight
Portfolio
valuation
Pre-purchase
model
Continuous feedback between
operations and valuation
22
OUR TEAM OF STATISTICIANS HAS BUILT MODELS THAT OPTIMIZE OUR
PURCHASING AND COLLECTION STRATEGIES


Encore Capital Group
23
WE HAVE SEVERAL OPERATIONAL MODELS THAT PREDICT CONSUMERS’
WILLINGNESS TO PAY
Encore Capital Group -Confidential
IN ADDITION, OUR CALL PRIORITIZATION MODEL SIGNIFICANTLY
ENHANCES OUR COLLECTION RESULTS
Encore dialer model score bands
$0.08
$0.10
$0.14
$0.17
$0.23
$0.55
$0.07
$0.05
$0.07
$0.11
$0.19
$0.42
1-150
151-300
301-500
501-800
801-1500
1500+
Random calling (2005)
Model-sloped calling (2007)
Average amount collected per call
($) 
Average improvement: 50%
Enables allocation of effort based on unit
yield to optimize call center variable costs
25
Encore Capital Group -
Confidential
ANOTHER EXAMPLE OF OUR INVESTMENT IN ANALYTICS IS OUR
PROPRIETARY MAIL RESPONSE MODEL
Collections per letter mailed
Random
mail
selection
Prioritization
using Encore
direct mail
effort sloping
model
$2.90
$5.60
= 93%
Mail
response
score
Number of
letters mailed
Measures of
credit quality
Geography
Amount owed
When is debt
being
collected?
($)


Encore Capital Group
24
OUR NEW LEGAL MODEL HAS RESULTED IN FEWER LAWSUITS BUT HAS
NOT REDUCED LEGAL COLLECTIONS
49.8
55.6
Q3 08
Q3 09
Legal collections and costs as a percentage of collections
51.0%
46.9%
$
$
($ millions)


Encore Capital Group
25
INNOVATION IN THE LEGAL CHANNEL IS IMPORTANT BECAUSE IT
CONTINUES TO BE OUR LARGEST SOURCE OF COLLECTIONS
Legal collections as a percentage of gross collections 
20%
30%
48%
48%
2003
2005
2007
YTD 2009


Encore Capital Group
26
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
23
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
39
Month
WHICH IS THE RESULT OF OUR ABILITY TO IDENTIFY CONSUMERS WHO
DO NOT FIT THE TRADITIONAL LEGAL SELECTION MODEL
Cumulative liquidation for a specific type of “unwilling consumer”
Historical “unwilling consumers”
accounts
performance
Lower credit quality performance
Higher credit quality performance
3.8%
23.5%
15.3%


Encore Capital Group
27
$0.0
$1.0
$2.0
$3.0
$4.0
$5.0
ANOTHER AREA OF FOCUS HAS BEEN OUR DEVELOPMENT OF A
SUCCESSFUL LATE STAGE COLLECTION CALL CENTER IN INDIA
Gross collections (India)
($ millions)


Encore Capital Group
AND WE JUST MOVED INTO A NEW INDIA FACILITY, WHICH GIVES US THE
ABILITY TO INCREASE HEADCOUNT TO OVER 1,100 COLLECTORS
28


Encore Capital Group
$25
$26
$38
$45
2006
2007
2008
2009 YTD
29
DOMESTICALLY, OUR COLLECTOR OUTPUT HAS DRAMATICALLY
INCREASED
Average monthly collections per active domestic collector
($ thousands)


Encore Capital Group
16.8%
12.6%
Q3 08
Q3 09
30
THIS IMPROVED OUTPUT COMES AT A SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER COST
Collection sites direct cost per dollar collected
Note: This dramatic decrease cannot be seen in our overall results due to the costs associated with the growth of our Legal Outsourcing channel


Encore Capital Group
OUR INDUSTRY IS UNDER AN INCREASING AMOUNT OF SCRUTINY
WHICH, WHILE TIME CONSUMING, MAY INCREASE BARRIERS TO ENTRY
31
Engaged in active lobbying efforts and working with trade organizations both to support a
balanced agenda and to better inform legislators
Attending hearings held by the FTC that focus on the use of the legal channel
Proposed legislation, mostly at the state level, aims to increase disclosure, limit
statutes and expand licensing requirements
In response, we are shifting purchasing to fresher paper
Longer periods of time before the statute expires
Linked directly with the issuer
Individual states are increasing requirements for pursuing litigation and obtaining
default judgments
Increased attention from the FTC and State Attorneys General
Extensive focus on compliance
Partnered with the Better Business Bureau (BBB) to review our practices
Maintain automated call monitoring software and quality assurance teams
Dedicated in-house team of lawyers and compliance specialists


Encore Capital Group
32
AGENDA
Company snapshot and industry overview
Current environment and key operating metrics
Operational competitive advantages
Additional financial information


Encore Capital Group
33
WE HAVE DEMONSTRATED A TRACK RECORD OF COLLECTION
GROWTH
Quarterly gross collections
($ millions)
125.7
59.9
83.9
75.8
85.6
97.8


Encore Capital Group
34
AND A SIGNIFICANT POSITIVE TREND IN OPERATING CASH FLOW
Adjusted EBITDA* by quarter
($ millions)
* See Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA  to GAAP Net Income at the end of the presentation
$70.0
$48.0
$42.4
$36.4
$51.9
$45.6
$46.1
$39.0
$43.5
$58.5
$53.0
$47.3
$49.3
$63.8
$64.7
Q1 06
Q2 06
Q3 06
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q3 07
Q4 07
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q408
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09


Encore Capital Group
Cumulative Collections through September 30, 2009
Year
of
Purchase
Purchase
Price
<2003
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Total
CCM
2003
195,661
$331,683
$126,730
$105,982
$74,843
$54,248
$24,055
$12,880
$6,507
$736,928
3.8
2003
88,505
59,038
86,958
69,932
55,131
26,653
13,897
6,375
317,984
3.6
2004
101,330
39,400
79,845
54,832
34,625
19,116
8,964
236,782
2.3
2005
192,591
66,491
129,809
109,078
67,346
34,259
406,983
2.1
2006
141,973
42,354
92,265
70,743
36,406
241,768
1.7
2007
204,318
68,048
145,272
89,091
302,411
1.5
2008
227,991
69,049
128,905
197,954
0.9
2009
215,015
52,523
52,523 
0.2
Total
$1,367,384
$331,683
$185,768
$232,340
$291,111
$336,374
$354,724
$398,303
$363,030
$2,493,333
1.8
35
THE BUSINESS MODEL LAYERS IN CONSISTENT MULTI-PERIOD
GROWTH
<


Encore Capital Group
36
$757
$892
$1,063
$1,188
Y/E 2006
Y/E 2007
Y/E 2008
Q3 2009
Estimated remaining gross collections
($ millions)
THIS LEADS TO AN INCREASE IN OUR RESERVOIR OF FUTURE VALUE


Encore Capital Group
37
MOREOVER, WE BELIEVE OUR INITIAL FORECASTS ARE CONSERVATIVE
Cumulative collections (initial expectation vs. actual)
($ millions, Jan 01 –
Sept 09)
$-
$250
$500
$750
$1,000
$1,250
$1,500
$1,750
$2,000
$2,250
$2,500
Actual cash
collections
Original
projections


Encore Capital Group
WHILE THERE IS VARIABILITY AT THE POOL GROUP LEVEL, IN
AGGREGATE OUR FORECASTS ARE HIGHLY ACCURATE
38
Collections vs. forecast
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
110.0%
120.0%
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q3 07
Q4 07
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Forecast
Variance
($ millions)
2007
2008
2009 YTD
Forecast
$348.1
$401.1
$346.4
Actual
$355.2
$398.6
$363.3
Variance
2%
(1%)
5%


Encore Capital Group
39
($ millions)
Cash flow leverage ratio
Debt
Trailing 4-quarter adjusted EBITDA
Debt/Adj. EBITDA [Maximum 1.75x]
Minimum net worth
Total stockholders' equity
Minimum net worth
Excess room
Interest coverage ratio
Trailing 4-quarter EBIT
Trailing 4-quarter consolidated interest expense
EBIT/Interest expense [Minimum 2.0x]
2007
272.4
172.8
1.58
171.5
136.7
34.8
51.8
18.0
2.9
2008
311.3
211.1
1.47
195.9
146.2
49.7
47.2
15.6
3.0
*Not adjusted for APB 14-1, prior to 2009
*
*
*
Q3 09
324.4
250.3
1.30
231.9
158.5
73.3
57.3
16.4
3.5
WE ARE WELL WITHIN OUR FINANCIAL COVENANTS AND HAVE AMPLE
ROOM TO GROW THE BUSINESS


Encore Capital Group
AND WE ARE ACTIVELY WORKING ON THE REFINANCING OF OUR
CREDIT FACILITY, WHICH MATURES IN MAY 2010
With the recent improvement in the credit markets, we have been
proactive in our renewal discussions
40
Our
goal
is
to
expand
the
size
of
our
facility
above
the
current
$335
million,
in
order
to
take
advantage
of
significant
opportunities
in
the
purchasing market
We are confident that we will be able to refinance the facility prior to
its maturity in May 2010, if not sooner
We are also investigating additional sources of financing to provide
the most flexibility for the company


Encore Capital Group
41
INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
Increasing supply combined with decreasing demand is creating
opportunity for well capitalized companies
Sophisticated analytics, differentiated servicing strategies and
our high
performing, low cost site in India enable us to generate superior returns
in today’s challenging economic times
Disciplined purchasing strategy allowed us to succeed over the past
few years without entering the then dramatically overpriced “fresh”
portfolio market
Demonstrated history of generating strong cash flows
Strategically positioned to take advantage of significant near-term
growth prospects


Encore Capital Group
42
Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to GAAP Net Income
(Unaudited, In Thousands)
Three Months Ended
Note: The
periods
3/31/06
through
12/31/08
have
been
adjusted
to
reflect
the
retrospective
application
of
APB
14-1;
with
the
filing
of
our
Form10-Q
on
7/30/09, adjustments were made to this table for net income, interest expense and provision for income taxes.
3/31/06
6/30/06
9/30/06
12/31/06
3/31/07
6/30/07
9/30/07
12/31/07
3/31/08
6/30/08
9/30/08
12/31/08
3/31/09
6/30/09
9/30/09
GAAP net income, as reported
4,078
6,870
4,574
5,952
4,991
(1,515)
4,568
4,187
6,751
6,162
3,028
(2,095)
8,997
6,641
9,004
Interest expense
4,274
4,155
3,994
4,367
4,042
4,506
4,840
5,260
5,200
4,831
5,140
5,401
4,273
3,958
3,970
Contingent interest expense
4,687
4,235
3,824
5,774
3,235
888
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Pay-off of future contingent interest
-
-
-
-
-
11,733
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Provision for income taxes
2,801
5,288
3,249
4,098
3,437
(1,031)
1,315
2,777
4,509
4,225
2,408
(1,442)
5,973
4,166
5,948
Depreciation and amortization
960
968
964
1,002
869
840
833
810
722
766
674
652
623
620
652
Amount applied to principal on receivable portfolios
29,867
19,398
18,340
29,421
28,259
29,452
26,114
29,498
40,212
35,785
35,140
46,364
42,851
48,303
49,188
Stock-based compensation expense
1,381
1,464
1,490
1,334
801
1,204
1,281
1,001
1,094
1,228
860
382
1,080
994
1,261
Adjusted EBITDA
48,048
42,378
36,435
51,948
45,634
46,077
38,951
43,533
58,488
52,997
47,250
49,262
63,797
64,682
70,023