Form 8-K

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549

 


FORM 8-K

 


CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): March 1, 2007

 


ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP, INC.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

 


 

Delaware   000-26489   48-1090909

(State or Other Jurisdiction

of Incorporation)

 

(Commission File

Number)

 

(IRS Employer

Identification No.)

 

8875 Aero Drive, Suite 200, San Diego, California   92123
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)   (Zip Code)

(877) 445-4581

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

 


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

 

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 



Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure

A copy of an investor slide presentation to be given by J. Brandon Black, President and Chief Executive Officer, at investor presentations during March 2007, is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein solely for purposes of this Item 7.01.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits.

 

Exhibit

Number

  

Description

99.1    Investor slide presentation of Encore Capital Group, Inc. dated March 2007.

The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibits, shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or otherwise subject to the liabilities under that Section. Furthermore, the information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibit, shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into the filings of the Company under the Securities Act of 1933.

Forward-Looking Statements:

The slide presentation attached to this report contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (the “Reform Act”). The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “project,” or the negation thereof or similar expressions constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Reform Act. These statements may include, but are not limited to, projections of revenues, income or loss, estimates of capital expenditures, plans for future operations, products or services, and financing needs or plans, as well as assumptions relating to these matters. For all forward-looking statements, the Company claims the protection of the safe-harbor for forward-looking statements contained in the Reform Act.

Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date the statement was made. They are inherently subject to risks and uncertainties, some of which we cannot predict or quantify. Future events and actual results could differ materially from the forward-looking statements. When considering each forward-looking statement, you should keep in mind the risk factors and cautionary statements found throughout the Company’s annual report on Form 10-K as of and for the year ended December 31, 2006 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We do not undertake and specifically decline any obligation to publicly release the result of any revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of such statements or to reflect the occurrence of anticipated or unanticipated events, whether as a result of new information, future events, or for any other reason.

In addition, it is our policy generally not to make any specific projections as to future earnings and we do not endorse projections regarding future performance that may be made by third parties.


SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

  ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP, INC.
Date: March 1, 2007  

/s/ Paul Grinberg

  Paul Grinberg
 

Executive Vice President, Chief Financial

Officer and Treasurer


EXHIBIT INDEX

 

Exhibit

Number

  

Description

99.1    Investor slide presentation of Encore Capital Group, Inc. dated March 2007.
Investor Slide Presentation
Encore Capital Group
Investor Presentation
March 2007
Leveraging Intellectual Capital


1
Encore Capital Group
CAUTIONARY NOTE ABOUT FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (the “Reform Act”).  The words
“believe,”
“expect,”
“anticipate,”
“estimate,”
“project,”
or the negation thereof or similar
expressions constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Reform
Act.  These statements may include, but are not limited to, projections of revenues,
income or loss, estimates of capital expenditures, plans for future operations,
products or services, and financing needs or plans, as well as assumptions relating to
these
matters.
Such
statements
involve
risks,
uncertainties
and
other
factors
that
may cause actual results, performance or achievements of the Company and its
subsidiaries
to
be
materially
different
from
any
future
results,
performance
or
achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.  For a
discussion of these factors, we refer you to the Company's reports filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for
the year ended December 31, 2006.  In light of the significant uncertainties inherent in
the forward-looking statements included herein, the inclusion of such information
should not be regarded as a representation by the Company or by any other person
or entity that the objectives and plans of the Company will be achieved.  For all
forward-looking statements, the Company claims the protection of the safe-harbor for
forward-looking statements contained in the Reform Act.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS


2
Encore Capital Group
What We Saw Coming
How We Responded
2006 Financial Results Were Impacted
Looking Ahead


3
Encore Capital Group
2006 WAS THE 3RD CONSECUTIVE YEAR OF PORTFOLIO PRICING INCREASES
7.00%
7.50%
8.00%
8.50%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
Q1 06
Q2 06
Q3 06
Q4 06
5.25%
9.75%
12.50%
13.00%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
2004
2005
2006
2007
More than
doubled over the
past 3 years
Large national bank’s core product
(% on a dollar of face)
21% increase
from the
beginning of 2006
Top 10 issuer of fresh charge-off
forward flow  
(% on a dollar of face)


4
Encore Capital Group
WHICH WAS DRIVEN BY NEW ENTRANTS INTO THE BUSINESS AND THE
DROP IN SUPPLY FROM CREDIT CARD ORIGINATORS
5.88%
5.83%
5.53%
5.39%
6.85%
6.79%
7.25%
5.68%
5.88%
5.73%
5.91%
6.22%
3.21%
3.36%
3.46%
3.86%
3.83%
3.68%
4.15%
4.07%
3.96%
4.08%
4.34%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.
July
Aug.
Sept.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
Charge-off rate from Moody’s credit card indices*
(%, 2005 versus 2006)
2005
2006
*The indices track approximately $400 billion of U.S. bank credit card loans backing securities rated by Moody's
Source: Moody’s Investors Service


5
Encore Capital Group
THE INCREASE IN PRICING HAS REDUCED OUR COLLECTION
MULTIPLES AND THE RELATED IRR’S
0.2
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.9
1.5
1.9
0.3
1.0
1.7
3.1
4.2
4.5
4.2
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Estimated remaining multiple
Multiple to date
Source: Derived from Encore Capital Group 2006 Form 10-K
Purchase multiple by year of purchase


6
Encore Capital Group
What We Saw Coming
How We Responded
2006 Financial Results
Looking Ahead


7
Encore Capital Group
WE RECOGNIZED THIS TREND IN EARLY 2005 AND PROACTIVELY
DEVELOPED A PLAN TO ADDRESS IT BY:
Identifying large, negotiated portfolio purchase
opportunities where pricing is more rational
Developing new collection strategies designed to improve
liquidation and reduce cost per dollar collected
New strategies enabled IRR targets to be achieved
despite higher pricing for portfolio
Diversifying into other areas of the distressed consumer
debt management business
Expanding capability to purchase and collect upon
alternative asset classes


8
Encore Capital Group
WE ADDRESSED OUR 2005 SUPPLY NEEDS WITH THE LARGE, NEGOTIATED
TRANSACTION WITH JEFFERSON CAPITAL
$0
$20,000,000
$40,000,000
$60,000,000
$80,000,000
$100,000,000
$120,000,000
Jefferson Capital bulk purchase -
actual collections versus original projections
Actual cash
collections
Original
projections


9
Encore Capital Group
OUR MULTI-CHANNEL COLLECTION STRATEGY HAS BEEN THE CATALYST
Proprietary
account allocation
software
Legal outsourcing
collections
Third-party agency
outsourcing
Call center
collections
Mail collections
Account sales to
third-parties
Continuous feedback
Monitor/no current
work effort
Portfolio
valuation
Core competency:
Consumer level analytics on distressed consumer debt
Encore’s proprietary account routing system
Consumer
analysis


10
Encore Capital Group
$-
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
$4,000,000
$5,000,000
$6,000,000
$7,000,000
$8,000,000
$9,000,000
Jun-
05
Jul-
05
Aug-
05
Sep-
05
Oct-
05
Nov-
05
Dec-
05
Jan-
06
Feb-
06
Mar-
06
Apr-
06
May-
06
Jun-
06
Jul-
06
Aug-
06
Sep-
06
Oct-
06
Nov-
06
Dec-
06
THIS DIVERSE APPROACH HAS ALLOWED US TO MAINTAIN CONSISTENT
COLLECTIONS ON THE JEFFERSON CAPITAL BULK PURCHASE
Jefferson Capital bulk purchase -
actual monthly collections
Total monthly collections
Monthly legal collections


11
Encore Capital Group
WHILE THE CHALLENGES TO GROW PURCHASE VOLUMES HAVE
PROVEN TO BE SIGNIFICANT, WE STARTED TO SEE MOMENTUM
BUILDING IN LATE 2006
$10.8
$10.2
$12.1
$14.0
$16.3
$11.1
$20.2
$49.6
Q1 2006
Q2 2006
Q3 2006
Q4 2006
Auction and negotiated deals
Forward flows
Quarterly deal flow
($ millions)


12
Encore Capital Group
IN 2006, WE DIVERSIFIED OUR PURCHASING TO OTHER ASSET CLASSES
Purchase price by asset class 
2005
2006
Consumer loan
and others
Telecom
Healthcare
Auto deficiencies
90%
Auto: 2%
16%
20%
1%
17%
$144 M
Healthcare: 2%
Telecom: 5%
46%
Credit card
$196 M
Other: 1%


13
Encore Capital Group
SOME OF WHICH ARE CONCENTRATED IN AREAS WITH A HIGH COST OF
SERVICING
Approximate cost to collect in US call centers by balance
Cost per Dollar Collected (includes variable and fixed costs)
25.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
80.0%
>$4,000
$2,500-3,999
$1,500-2,499
$1,000-1,499
$500-999
<$500


14
Encore Capital Group
$0.05
$4.1
$0.0
$2.0
$4.0
$6.0
2005
2006
WE PREPARED FOR THIS BY BUILDING A CALL CENTER IN INDIA…
142
33
46
182
0
50
100
150
200
2005
2006
Headcount growth
Collection growth
Productive
headcount
Total headcount
Year-end headcount
($ millions)


15
Encore Capital Group
…WHICH HAS A LOWER COST STRUCTURE
2006 hourly wage rate by site
Base Pay per Hour
$0.00
$5.00
$10.00
$15.00
$20.00
$25.00
Phoenix
San Diego
St. Cloud
India
Lowest Pay Grade
Highest Pay Grade


16
Encore Capital Group
THIS INVESTMENT MAKES US VERY COMPETITIVE ON LOWER BALANCE
PORTFOLIOS
RECENT TELECOM EXAMPLE
Enhancement
-
Collections
Bal>250
Bal<250
283M
(68% total)
135M
(32% total)
21M
(84% total)
4M
(16% total)
21M
(51% total)
20M
(49% total)
400%
0%
-
Multiple
Total
Total
(market price:
3.5% over face)
6.0%
9.8%
1.71
2.80
Pre India
Post India
-
Liquidation
Face value
418M
25M
41M
Total
64%
64%
64%
Balance band


17
Encore Capital Group
WE ALSO DIVERSIFIED INTO DISTRESSED CONSUMER DEBT
BANKRUPTCY SERVICES THROUGH THE ASCENSION ACQUISITION
August 2005
Strong platform to enter large consumer bankruptcy processing
outsourcing market with significant entry barriers and high switching
costs
Cross-selling opportunity with core business
Automated legal processing platform leveraged in collection litigation
Timing
Location:
Arlington, Texas
Number of employees:
160*
Business scope:
-
Core: Secured consumer bankruptcy account servicing, mainly auto
-
Others: Secured auto bankruptcy accounts purchasing**,
Bankruptcy software licensing
Major clients:
-
Large national auto lenders and local banks
-
Two new clients added since acquisition
Ascension
business
overview
Synergies
and
capabilities
targeted 
* As of December 31, 2006     ** Last purchase made in 2001


18
Encore Capital Group
UNFORTUNATELY, AS A RESULT OF BK REFORM, BANKRUPTCIES WERE AT
AN ALL TIME LOW IN 2006
U.S. Chapter 7 bankruptcy filings
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
U.S. Chapter 7 bankruptcy filings
Sources: U.S. Courts
Volume increase
due to BK reform
For the first 8 months of 2006
Chapter 7 bankruptcies were
at their lowest levels since
1987


19
Encore Capital Group
AS A RESULT, ASCENSION HAS NOT MET OUR EXPECTATIONS, BUT IT IS
CURRENTLY POISED TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF INCREASED BANKRUPTCY
FILINGS
Hired two new sales executives
Client prospects now include top 100 Banks and top 50 Credit Unions
Ascension Capital and Encore are teaming on events and sales calls
Sales & Marketing
Pricing
Improved Contracts
Cost Containment
Revised pricing methodologies to achieve a 20% margin
Renegotiated long-term contracts with key clients
India pilot program to begin April 1, 2007
Re-engineered workflow processes: 50% of the improvement in
accounts/FTE realized in 2006 and another 50% expected in 2007


20
Encore Capital Group
MOST IMPORTANTLY, WE CONTINUED TO LEARN ABOUT OUR
CONSUMERS
Willingness to pay
Is the debtor willing to resolve the debt on fair terms?
H
H
L
L
Minimal discount offered
Pursue legal strategy if court cost is
justified and accounts are in statute
Minimal discount offered
Mail, call, legal if necessary
Minimal to no effort
Accept smaller payments and longer payment
plans
Mail, call
Push to legal if the risk
adjusted returns justify
the costs and accounts
are in statute
Use discounts, payment plans and friendly talk-off
to cultivate liquidation


21
Encore Capital Group
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
Month 1
Month 2
Month 3
Month 4
Month 5
Month 6
Month 7
Month 8
Month 9
Month 10
Month 11
WHICH LED TO OUR NEW LEGAL INITIATIVE
Blended performance
Blended expectation
Cumulative liquidation for specific type of “unwilling consumers”
Historical “unwilling consumers”
accounts performance


22
Encore Capital Group
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
THIS WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT POSITIVE CASH IMPACT IN THE LONG RUN
Incremental collections over previous program
Incremental cash flows impacts of 2007 legal initiative
($Million)
Total 2007 placements
expected to yield almost
$80 million in incremental
collections over the life of
the accounts
LEGAL INITIATIVE EXAMPLE
Incremental net cash flows
Incremental cash outflows


23
Encore Capital Group
HOWEVER, DETERMINING THE TIMING OF THE REVENUE IMPACT FOR
2007 PLACEMENTS IS CHALLENGING AND, IS DEPENDENT ON SEVERAL
FACTORS
Factors that impact the
revenue recognition
Remaining book value
of accounts
Age of accounts on book from the original pools
Prior collections on the specific pool groups before
the application of legal initiative
Original purchase price for the pools
IRR used to
recognize revenue
Expected collections from original pool groups as a
whole
The actual collections from the legal initiative can
vary by 1) time left in statute 2) balance 3) state 4)
credit quality and 5) availability of asset information
of debtors
Operational
challenges
Placements are selected based on litigation
eligibility, not by portfolio or pool group
Potential variance


24
Encore Capital Group
What We Saw Coming
How We Responded
2006 Financial Results
Looking Ahead


Encore Capital Group
FOR THE YEAR, OUR TOP LINE RESULTS WERE ABOVE 2005, ALTHOUGH
THIS PERFORMANCE DID NOT DROP TO THE BOTTOM LINE
2005 Actual
2006 Actual
Purchases
Revenue
Collections
EPS, FD
Net Income
Revenue
recognized as
% of
collections
$195.6
$292.2
$221.8
$31.1
$144.3
$337.1
$255.1
$24.0
2006 versus 2005
Performance
($ millions)
% B/(W)
$1.30
$1.03
74%
71%
(26%)
15%
15%
(23%)
(21%)
(4%)
25


26
Encore Capital Group
PRIMARILY DUE TO AN INCREASE IN OUR EXPENSE TO COLLECTIONS
RATIO
* Excludes portfolio sales, Ascension expenses, stock option expense, strategic alternatives
Expense/Collections ratio* trend
(%)
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
Q1 05
Q2 05
Q3 05
Q4 05
Q1 06
Q2 06
Q3 06
Q4 06


27
Encore Capital Group
$0.8
$1.0
$2.0
$1.5
$1.2
$1.4
$1.7
$2.0
$3.0
$3.6
$3.7
$5.3
Q1
2004
Q2
2004
Q3
2004
Q4
2004
Q1
2005
Q2
2005
Q3
2005
Q4
2005
Q1
2006
Q2
2006
Q3
2006
Q4
2006
WHICH WAS DRIVEN BY UPFRONT COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE RAMP UP
IN OUR LEGAL INITIATIVE AND OTHER NON-RECURRING COSTS
Court Cost Expense by Quarter
($ millions)


28
Encore Capital Group
71%
74%
77%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
2004
2005
2006
EARNINGS WERE ALSO NEGATIVELY IMPACTED BY OUR DECLINING
REVENUE RECOGNITION RATES
Revenue recognition rates 
(%, 2004-2006)


29
Encore Capital Group
WHICH RESULT FROM THE CONTINUED SHIFT TO NEWER, LOWER
REVENUE RECOGNITION POOLS
For the Year Ended
December 31, 2006
For the Year Ended
December 31, 2005
Revenue to
Collections
Percentage
Revenue
Collections
Percentage
of Total
Revenue
Revenue to
Collections
Percentage
Collections
Percentage
of Total
Revenue
Zero Basis Portfolios
100.0%
$28,588
$28,588
11.9%
100.0%
$32,412
$32,412
15.0%
1999 –
2003 Accrual
Basis Portfolios
77.0%
63,151
82,040
26.4%
82.4%
92,592
112,373
42.9%
2004 –
2005 Accrual
Basis Portfolios
66.2%
121,363
183,392
50.7%
62.1%
90,927
146,326
42.1%
2006 Accrual Basis
Portfolios
61.9%
26,238
42,354
11.0%
-
-
-
-
Total
71.2%
$239,340
$336,374
100.0%
74.2%
$215,931
$291,111
100.0%
Revenue
Source: Encore Capital Group 2006 Form 10-K
($ thousands)


30
Encore Capital Group
What We Saw Coming
How We Responded
2006 Financial Results
Looking Ahead


31
Encore Capital Group
THERE ARE BROAD MACROECONOMIC FACTORS THAT WILL BE
CATALYSTS FOR OVERALL EXPANSION IN OUR CORE MARKETS
Dynamics for recovery
businesses
Strong potential for growth in
the next 2-3 years due to
overall volume increases
Significant opportunities for
tapping new growth areas as
market continues to evolve
Significant segment
specific catalytic
factors for bad debt
Minimum credit card
payment increase
CDHP penetration
High interest student
loans
Substantial ripple effects from high risk
mortgage loans accumulated
Up to $500 billion in sub prime mortgage
loans will be experiencing payment shock in
the next three years
Increasing number
and types of sellers
Healthcare providers
Captive auto lenders
Mortgage lenders
Multinational banks
Source: Literature search, interviews


32
Encore Capital Group
AS WE LOOK TO 2007, WE ALREADY SEE SEVERAL THINGS MOVING IN OUR
FAVOR
Purchasing:  The legal initiative has made us more competitive
on “auctioned”
deals and we have developed new acquisition and
sales strategies
Bankruptcies:  Filings are on the rise –
which will hopefully lead to  
increased placements at Ascension
Auto deficiency:  Saw the availability of auto paper rise in 2006 and
expect it to continue in 2007
Telecommunications:  Plans are progressing quickly to add a new
low-cost channel to service this asset class


33
Encore Capital Group
WE ARE CONTINUALLY DEVELOPING NEW OPERATING INITIATIVES,
SOME OF WHICH HAVE ALREADY BEEN IMPLEMENTED, THAT ARE
DRIVING IMPROVEMENTS IN PORTFOLIO LIQUIDATION
Key levers for
IRR
enhancement*
Legal initiative
Settlement
enhancement
Deeper
penetration of low
balance accounts
through India
Collection
enhance-
ments
Location
optimization
Life cycle channel
optimization
Outsourcing
strategies for late
stage accounts
* Since operations are key focus of the discussion, assumes pricing is constant
Initiatives that have
been partially
deployed
Initiatives that will
be deployed in 2007
Cost
reduction
Net collection
curve shape
optimization


34
Encore Capital Group
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.2
2.5
2004
2005
2006
THE INITIATIVES THAT HAVE BEEN IMPLEMENTED HAVE ALREADY
RESULTED IN AN IMPROVEMENT IN OUR EXPECTED MULTIPLES FROM
RECENT VINTAGES
2004 Purchases
2005 Purchases
Source: Derived from Encore Capital Group Form 10-Ks


35
Encore Capital Group
WE BELIEVE ENCORE REPRESENTS AN OPPORTUNITY TO CAPITALIZE
ON A STRONG PLATFORM AND FAVORABLE INDUSTRY DYNAMICS TO
ACHIEVE ATTRACTIVE RETURNS
Strong cash flow generation
Significant growth momentum
Encore’s industry leading
business model and position
Proprietary
analytics and
technology
Strong and
visionary
management
team 
Scalable and
transferable
operations 
Strong industry fundamentals in distressed consumer debt space